A recent survey conducted in Germany revealed that the majority of the public is in favor of holding early elections.

According to the “DeutschlandTrend” survey by the German public broadcaster ARD, 54% of participants expressed a desire for early elections. Meanwhile, 41% indicated support for the current government consisting of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Greens, and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) to remain in power until the planned election date of September 28, 2025. Among the survey participants, 93% of voters for the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, 75% of supporters of the Alliance for Progress and Justice (BSW) party led by Sahra Wagenknecht, 69% of Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) voters, 20% of Green voters, and 19% of SPD voters favored advancing the election date. The survey indicated a decrease in confidence in the German government, with 44% expressing dissatisfaction by stating they are “not satisfied at all,” while 41% claimed to be “less satisfied,” totaling an 85% dissatisfaction rate. Those who stated they are “very satisfied” with the government remained at 1%, while 13% expressed being “satisfied.” Only 14% of the survey participants reported being content with the current government, marking the lowest satisfaction rate recorded so far.

EXPECTATIONS OF AN EARLY ELECTION IN THE COUNTRY

Germany has been experiencing turmoil in its coalition government for a long time due to disagreements between the ruling partners and recent economic challenges in the country, raising questions about the government’s future. Speculations in the country’s press suggest that the government may not last until September 28 and might head for elections in March. It is claimed that the ruling partners are searching for a “specific reason” and the “right time” to end the government. Recently, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and FDP Finance Minister Christian Lindner held separate meetings with economic circles, while Green Party Minister of Economy and Climate Protection Robert Habeck presented a separate proposal to strengthen the economy. Political analysts believe that this situation shows a complete rupture within the government and its members working against each other. The meeting scheduled for November 14 in the Federal Parliament’s Budget Committee will be decisive in determining the government’s continuity. If the government partners fail to reach an agreement on the 2025 budget, early elections in the country are highly likely.

CDU/CSU LEADING IN THE MAIN OPPOSITION

In the “DeutschlandTrend” survey, the main opposition CDU/CSU increased its support by 3 percentage points compared to the previous month to reach 34%, securing the first position. The far-right populist AfD follows with 17%, claiming the second spot, while SPD, to which Chancellor Scholz belongs, maintains the third position with 16%. The Greens lost 2 percentage points from the previous month, resulting in an 11% vote share, and BSW dropped by 2 points to 6%. The Free Democratic Party (FDP), the small partner in the government, stands at 4%, facing the possibility of being left out of the parliament.